Dollar Set For Weekly Losses, Dragged By Fed, BOJ Moves


On Friday, the greenback increased in Asian trading, however, was on track to end a tumultuous week with losses after the Fed cut its long term interest rate anticipations and the BoJ rebooted its monetary policy framework.

The greenback increase 0.4% at 101.09 yen, pulling away from  approximately four week decline of 100.10 touched immediate, although still poised to shed 1.1% for the week.

After a public holiday on Thursday, Markets in Tokyo reopened, and processed Wednesday’s news that the U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unmoved, but indicated it could still tighten up monetary policy by the end of this year.

The U.S. central bank also expected a less aggressive increase in interest rates the approaching year and in 2018, and it reduces its longer run interest rate prediction to 2.9% from 3.0%.

Also on Wednesday, ahead of the holiday, the Bank of Japan shifted to aiming interest rates on Japanese government bonds as the concentration of its massive monetary easing program, reducing its explicit goal of increasing base money.

The Bank of Japan’s  announcement, initially sent the greenback up over 1% to 102.79 yen, though the increase unraveled as investors realized that the overall market influence was far from obvious.

“The build-up to Wednesday was large, with lots of anticipation, but everyone kind of walked away scratching their heads,” said Bart Wakabayashi, head of Hong Kong FX sales at State Street Global Markets.

“We’re defaulting to the levels where the market is comfortable. There wasn’t enough to energize the dollar through 100 yen, or 103,” he said.

Some analysts took emotion at the point that the greenback was able to pull itself off its overnight session lows beyond the 100-yen level, which stays a key technical point.

“A break of that could open the pair’s downside,” said Yutaka Miura, a senior technical analyst at Mizuho Securities.

The dollar’s nearness to the 100-yen did not escape the attention of Japanese authorities.

“We’re concerned about recent extremely nervous moves in the currency market,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga told a regular news conference on Friday, when inquired regarding the yen’s recent increase against the greenback.

On Thursday, Japan’s top currency diplomat, Masatsugu Asakawa, vice finance minister for international affairs, stated that Japanese financial authorities are observing for speculative currency market moves and would reply if required.

Compared to the yen, the euro increased 0.2% to 113.20 yen, down 0.8% for the week. It edged inched 0.1% to $1.1197, aiming for a 0.3% weekly increase.

The dollar index,  which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major competitors, added 0.1% to 95.522 (DXY), on track to log a weekly loss of 0.6%.

The British pound gave back some of the prior  session’s gains made after a Bank of England policymaker stated she saw no case for an additional reduction in interest rates to increase the economy following Britain’s vote to exit the European Union.

After falling to a five week low of $1.2946 <gbp=d4 style=”color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, “Nimbus Sans L”, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>on Wednesday, sterling suddenly increased as high as $1.3121. It was last down 0.3% at $1.3040, up 0.3% for the week.

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